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Always bet on the Banker

With no way to influence the outcome of a particular hand, the Baccarat player makes his most important decision before the hand. But this is pretty straight-forward. Out of the three possible bets - banker, player or tie - the "Banker" bet is the clear mathematical favourite with a slim house edge of only 1.058%. This is why one of the best gambling strategies for Baccarat is to only bet on the Banker.

We can compare the house edge on the three different bets to see why the Banker bet is one of the best bets on the entire casino floor.

Banker Bet - 8 Deck 5% Commission  
Event
Pays
Probability
Return
Banker Win 0.95 0.458597 0.4356672
Player Win -1 0.446247 -0.446247
Tie 0 0.095156 0
Total   1 -0.01058

Player Bet - 8 Deck     
Event
Pays
Probability
Return
Banker Win -1 0.458597 -0.458597
Player Win 1 0.446247 0.446247
Tie 0 0.095156 0
Total   1 -0.01235

Tie Bet - 8 Deck     
Event Pays Probability Return
Banker Win -1 0.458597 -0.458597
Player Win -1 0.446247 -0.446247
Tie 8 0.095156 0.761248
Total   1 -0.143596

 

 
 

Comparing the above tables we can see the house edge on the banker is 1.058%, the player 1.235% and the Tie bet 14.36%. The banker is clearly a great bet. The player bet is only marginally worse. The baccarat tie bet is considered one of the worst sucker bets around. So clearly, the banker bet is always the best mathematical play.

Whether your baccarat strategy is just to play only the table minimum or use a progression betting system, you can improve your gambling edge by adjusting your strategy to only play the banker bet. So if you were playing a reverse martingale, you would only stick to the banker bet. Playing either the player or tie would be giving the casino an unneccesary extra edge. Don't be one of the suckers, squeeze the casino margins and you'll find yourself with many more winning sessions.

Good Luck!

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